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Why Releasing Super Bowl Ads Early Drove 25% Increase in Quality Exposures

Keith O’Brien
February 15, 2022

What You Need to Know

  • Super Bowl ads released pre-game outperformed those released on game day by 25% based on level of creative attention.
  • Early-released ads scored an average attention Quality Score of 5.2 out of a possible 10, versus 3 for all the ads.  
  • Ads that ran for the first time on Super Bowl Sunday versus those that were teased in advance had a 25% higher estimated cost per quality exposure because of lower performing creative.

What You Need to Do

  • Release your ads early. The best way to protect and gain ROI on such a large investment is to build buzz through early release and iteration. We have witnessed higher attention for ads released in advance for three years in a row.
  • Test even if you release early. If your teaser is performing poorly, there’s a good chance the full ad will produce similar results. Testing enables you predict in-market performance and fix creative issues before the highly anticipated pre-game window.
  • Test for the right celebrities. The top ads almost always include celebrities and humorous scripts. However, one of the lowest performing ads had four big celebrities in it. Different celebrities in different scenarios can make a big difference.

Humor Drives Winners on Attention

Ads that embraced humor and incorporated celebrities outperformed the rest

Disney+’s “Has All the GOATs” starring Awkwafina and NFL’s Bring Down the House, featuring the likeness of dozens of NFL players, both scored a Quality Score (QS) of 8.

Additionally, GOATs had a qCPM (an estimated effective cost of one thousand quality attentive media exposures derived from a nominal cost of $10) of $12.68 and NFL had a qCPM $14.14. This made their creative among the most efficient in capturing the attention value from the $6.5 million average cost per placement.

Rounding out the top three was the Kevin Hart-starring Sam’s Club’s “VIP,” which we accurately predictedwould be among the top ads when we studied pre-released ads and teasers last week. It received a 7 QS and qCPM of $13.19.

Top Three Ads

Brand Creative Quality Score Capture Retain Encode Creative Efficiency qCPM
Disney+ Has All the GOATs 8 5.9 26% 70.2 79% $12.68
NFL Bring Down The House 8 6.1 24% 65.9 71% $14.14
Sam's Club VIP 7 5.1 28% 70.0 76% $13.19

The ad that was among those that produced the most game-day and next day chatter: Coinbase’s QR code ad that mimicked the bouncing icon of a DVD screensaver. However, our PreView data found it had among the highest level of distraction and did not score among the top half of ads. For a target audience it hit, but underwhelmed the overall audience.

Realeyes Super Bowl LVI Pre-Game Creative Attention Report

Early-release ads 2022 versus prior years

2020 – 2022 U.S. General Population

Year Flight Quality Score Capture Retain Encode Creative Efficiency qCPM
2022 All Ads 4.3 4.9 15% 47.4 42% $28.82
2022 Released Early 5.7 4.6 21% 88.2 56% $19.29
2021 All Ads 4.5 4.7 19% 45.2 45% $27.53
2021 Released Early 4.8 5.1 19% 35.5 47% $25.34
2020 All Ads 4.3 4.2 19% 57.8 44% $26.87
2020 Released Early 5.0 4.5 17% 69.1 49% $22.84

How In-Game Ads Underperformed

Despite the promising scores of the pre-released ads and teasers, this year’s ads underperformed previous years. Here’s three reasons why:

  • High volume categories scored low. There were several automotive and entertainment ads, and they were among the lowest performing with respective Quality Scores of 3.1 and 3.6. 
  • Few top performers and a glut of low performers. Only seven ads scored higher than 7, whereas there were 24 that scored 3 or below. The top ads performed very well, but there were too many ads that did not resonate.
  • Lack of Emotion and Retention. Ads released during the Super Bowl failed to capture the same emotional response as those released early. The Encode score, which measures emotional response, dropped from 88.2 for the teasers and early released ads to 46.4 for the full suite of ads. This year’s crop of ads also had the lowest retention of attention of any previous years.

Ads That Were Teased in Advance

Creative Teaser Full
2022_02_SuperBowl_Sams-Club-VIP Sam’s Club - VIP 9 7
2022_02_SuperBowl_Michelob-Superior-Bowl Michelob - Welcome to Superior Bowl 7 6
2022_02_SuperBowl_Rakutan Rakuten - Evil Laugh 5 6
2022_02_SuperBowl_Budweiser-Journey Budweiser - Journey 6 5
2022_02_SuperBowl_Booking_Idris Booking.com - Idris Elba says thing 5 5
2022_02_SuperBowl_Irish_Spring Irish Spring - Welcome to Irish Spring 4 4
2022_02_SuperBowl_Lays_Paul-Rud_Seth-Rogan Lays - Ft Seth Rogen & Paul Rudd 5 3

When the preview scores from the final ads differed, it’s likely attributed to audiences being excited for the celebrities, but not the ultimate ad creative. For example, people were excited to see popular comedians Seth Rogen and Paul Rudd together, but the final ad may have needed different creative direction.

Brand Creative Quality Score Creative Efficiency qCPM
Disney+ Has All the GOATs

8

78.9% $12.7
NFL Bring Down the House

8

70.7% $14.1
Sam's Club VIP

7

75.8% $13.2
Doritos Push It Flamin' Hot

7

71.3% $14.0
Bud Light Seltzer Land of Loud Flavors

7

68.7% $14.5
Jurassic World Jurassic World 3 Trailer

7

62.1% $16.1
Intuit QuickBooks and Mailchimp

7

58.8% $17.0
Salesforce The New Frontier Salesforce

6

65.6% $15.25
Michelob Ultra Welcome to Superior Bowl

6

60.9% $16.42
Intuit QuickBooks and Mailchimp

6

58.8% $17.0
Hologic Hologic Ft. Mary J. Blige

6

58.8% $17.0
Uber Eats Don't Eats

6

58.8% $17.0
Caesars Sportsbook Dinner

6

56.7% $17.64
Verizon Goodbye Cable 5G Internet Verizon

6

56.7% $17.64
NBC Comedy Big Laughs

6

54.5% $18.33
Moon Knight Moon Knight Movie Trailer

6

53.6% $18.65
Rakuten High Stakes

6

45.0% $22.22
T-Mobile Zach Braff and Donald Faison Sing a Duet for Home Internet

6

44.7% $22.36
eToro Flying Your Way

6

43.1% $23.18
Chevrolet The First

5

56.4% $17.73
Meta Old Friends. New Fun

5

55.2% $18.12
LifeLock Lifelock Protect Your Identity

5

54.1% $18.48
Budweiser Journey

5

52.3% $19.14
FTX Don't Miss Out

5

51.0% $19.61
WeatherTech Special Ops Fit Crew

5

50.1% $19.97
Booking.com Idris Elba says things

5

48.5% $20.62
Taco Bell The Grande Escape

5

48.3% $20.72
HBO Max Wining Time

5

44.9% $22.25
Amazon Alexa Amazon’s Big Game Commercial Mind Reader

5

43.4% $23.06
E-Trade Baby

5

43.1% $23.18
Hellmann's Hellmann’s Mayo Tackles Food Waste

5

41.6% $24.02
Greenlight “I’ll Take It”

5

41.3% $24.20
Cue Meet Cue

5

38.4% $26.06
Planet Fitness Lindsay

5

35.0% $28.59
Turkish Airlines Pangea – Turkish Airlines

4

49.4% $20.26
Polestar No Compromises

4

46.1% $21.71
Rocket Mortgage Dream House with Anna Kendrick and Barbie

4

46.0% $21.72
Samuel Adams Sam Adams SuperBowl 2022

4

43.2% $23.14
Sleep Number Bed Commercial Super

4

42.4% $23.58
Pringles Pringles Stuck In 30

4

41.4% $24.18
T-Mobile Help 5G Phones

4

40.1% $24.97
AMC + AMC +

4

38.1% $26.26
Wallbox Supercharged Seth

4

38.1% $26.27
Cutwater Here’s to the Lazy Ones

4

36.9% $27.13
NOPE Movie Trailer

4

36.2% $27.63
General Motors Dr. EV-il #EVerybodyIn

4

36.0% $27.81
Gillette Easy Shave

4

35.8% $27.95
Telemundo Gooaaal

4

32.0% $31.29
Toyota Start Your Impossible Brothers

4

30.3% $33.01
Irish Spring Welcome to Irish Spring

4

29.1% $34.32
Bud Light Zero In The Way Of Possibility

4

24.9% $40.21
Crypto.com The Moment of Truth Crypto.com

3

39.8% $25.14
Peacock WrestleMania 38 Super Bowl commercial

3

37.7% $26.50
BMW Zeus & Hera BMW USA (Official Video)

3

33.5% $29.87
Lay's Starring Seth Rogen and Paul Rudd

3

33.3% $30.07
Michelob Ultra Superior Bowl Caddy

3

32.8% $30.49
Peacock Joe vs Carole

3

31.4% $31.87
Squarespace Sally's Seashells

3

31.2% $32.09
Universal Parks Jurassic World

3

29.6% $33.84
Netflix The Adam Project Trim

3

27.5% $36.40
Turbotax Matchmaker

3

25.8% $38.72
Avocados From Mexico Always Good

2

26.5% $37.76
Carvana Oversharing Mom

2

26.1% $38.34
Expedia Starring Ewan McGregor

2

25.0% $40.02
Amazon Prime The Rings of Power

2

23.2% $43.12
Coinbase Ad Meter 2022

2

22.5% $44.51
T-Mobile 5G Phones Song

2

22.2% $44.98
Google Pixel Real Tone

2

22.0% $45.55
Oikos Oikos Strong

2

20.9% $47.94
Nissan Nissan Presents Thrill Driver

2

17.0% $58.84
NBC Renee Zellweger Stars in NBC’s The Thing About Pam

2

16.4% $60.91
Kia Electric Kia EV6

2

14.9% $67.34
NFL We Believe It Takes All of Us

1

21.4% $46.68
Toyota The Joneses

1

10.8% $92.40
DraftKings Fortune Life's a Gamble

1

7.4% $135.85

Methodology & Definitions

  • Quality Score: a composite metric reported on a scale of 0-10 and measures a video’s ability to perform in market. It includes three critical elements: Capture, Retain and Encode.
  • Capture: Ability to capture audience attention in the first few seconds.
  • Retain: Ability to retain the audience throughout the ad.
  • Encode: Ability to encode the brand message into the brain through emotional engagement.
  • qCPM: An estimated cost of one thousand quality media exposures based on Capture, Retain and Encode performance, and derived from a nominal cost of one thousand impressions (CPM).

Creative Efficiency: The extent to which a creative captures the full value of a nominal CPM based on attentional scores; calculated by dividing a video creative’s CPM by its qCPM.

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